When the flag drops (at least some of) the bullshit stops. Australia’s round of Formula 1 Grand Prix racing can be checked of the list. It is done, and it is over.
About a week ago I wrote an article about an “objective” way to measure fans’ expectance: the wonderfull world of betting. Here the follow up on that article. Please remember: I am NOT a betting person. I do NOT want to get you started on betting. Betting can kill, Betting seriously harms you and others around you, Betters die younger, Betting blocks the arteries and causes heart attack or cerebral hemorrhage… Well, some of that may definitely be somewhat true.
Just to repeat: below you will find the odds for bets you can place. I am comparing 2 sites. The odds are not 100% comparable, since 1 bets firmly on whether a driver becomes world champion, and another bets for world champion, but also returns an amount if the driver just misses the top-spot and makes it to second or third place.
2017 Driver championship
I sorted the drivers on the odds of column 1 and then column 2 (two separate betting offices: not naming names) The third column is the driver’s relative position compared to last week’s exercise.
Highlights: “we” think Kimi will do better in the end than Max. The Ferrari’s showed themselves strong the weekend.
Perez and Grosjean are expected to do quite well (Grosjean certainly seems to have made an impression, he makes a 6 position jump!) are moved up the order.
Kyvat fared well with his performance, and was awarded a place up.
It is surprising Alonso did not move down the ladder after Australia’s debacle. We also still think it is still a safe bet that both Sauber drivers will be last.
For the Constructor’s Worldchampionship:
No surprises here, nothing changed since last time. The odds for Mercedes becoming champion have gotten stronger. (ie. Bet more, gain less) Sauber: stiff last. Aren’t we underestimating the Torro Rosso’s?
So how will the points be split in China?
Surprising here is that we expect to see Alonso further down the line than what we see in the championship. So we think it is reasonable that McLaren-Honda will pick up pace later on in the season.