Why McLaren should be wary of Verstappen’s bold gamble

Last Updated on July 6 2025, 9:17 am

British GP weather twist: can Verstappen weather the storm from pole? As the Formula 1 circus arrives at the spiritual home of motorsport for the 2025 British Grand Prix, there is one question on everyone’s lips — can Max Verstappen use the unpredictable Silverstone weather to his advantage from pole position?

It’s been a weekend of swirling gusts, light drizzle and the ever-changing British weather keeping everyone on their toes. With the race looming on Sunday afternoon, the forecasts are in, the radar has been consulted and the meteorological tea leaves have been read. What they predict is far from straightforward.

 

Rainy setup, dry start? Don’t be so sure…

Let’s get one thing straight: Silverstone is never truly dry until the chequered flag falls. The latest forecast suggests that it will continue to rain until around 13:00–14:00 local time, with the Grand Prix due to start at 15:00. In theory, the track should be dry by the time the race starts. However, ‘should’ is a dangerous word in the English countryside.

The lingering showers may clear, but the track could still be greasy, leaving the drivers with the joyous dilemma of whether to trust slicks or hedge their bets with intermediates in the opening laps. The wind is set to shift to a north-westerly direction during the race, adding another variable as it whips through the high-speed corners, potentially destabilising the cars just enough to ruin someone’s day.

Temperatures will hover around a relatively chilly 20°C, with track temperatures between 28°C and 32°C — not too different from Saturday, when Verstappen performed exceptionally well to secure pole position for the Red Bull RB21.

 

Verstappen’s Setup Gamble — and What It Means

Red Bull have opted for a slippery, low-downforce setup for Verstappen. It’s the same one that helped him achieve the fastest speed on Saturday, but it may require careful management of the tyres to survive Sunday’s demands.

This setup is eerily reminiscent of the strategy used in Japan earlier this season. There, Verstappen used raw pace and precision to secure pole position and fend off the twin orange threats from McLaren. That weekend also began with problems on Friday, yet ended with Max demonstrating championship-calibre control. Sound familiar?

This time, though, the odds are slightly longer. Suzuka is notoriously difficult to overtake on. Silverstone, though not exactly Spa-Francorchamps, is slightly more forgiving. Meanwhile, tyres could be a bigger headache.

 

Verstappen attacked at Silverstone

 

Tyres: The Uninvited Guest That Could Ruin The Party

Pirelli has informed us that a one-stop strategy is technically two to three seconds quicker than a two-stop strategy. The catch? It probably requires starting on the hard tyre and stretching it until laps 36 to 42 — something that most frontrunners might find a little too risky.

Verstappen’s low-drag approach might help on the straights, but it could also cause the tyres to overheat in Silverstone’s long, sweeping corners. Then again, it depends on who you ask. McLaren’s Andrea Stella, for example, isn’t convinced that there is any correlation between rear wing levels and tyre wear.

“When you’re fast on the straights, you don’t need to push as hard in the corners,” Stella argues. So it’s not obvious that Red Bull’s setup is harsher on tyres.’

Meanwhile, Verstappen admits that if anyone’s going to suffer from degradation, it’ll be Red Bull, especially with the rear tyres. However, with the right balance of tyre conservation and raw pace, he remains a genuine contender for victory.

 

McLaren: Double the Trouble, Double the Chance

One major difference from Japan is that this time McLaren has two contenders in the top spots: Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, fresh off a run of strong performances, are both positioned to strike. Verstappen doesn’t just have to worry about one papaya-hued missile, but a coordinated two-car assault.

And then there’s Ferrari. Yes, Ferrari. The team that occasionally flirts with brilliance before spinning into mediocrity. But this weekend, they’ve got pace. According to Stella, they might even have had the fastest car during practice. This should give both Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton — yes, he’s still in red — a glimmer of hope.

Let’s not forget George Russell either. The Mercedes driver thrives in cooler temperatures, and with Silverstone’s unpredictable weather, his chances shouldn’t be dismissed. Especially if the weather throws one of its typical curveballs.

 

Tactical Ballet: Everyone Has the Same Tools

Strategically, most of the top teams are working with the same tyre allocation: two sets of hard tyres and one set of medium tyres. This means that it will come down to who uses their rubber most wisely, whatever conditions Silverstone serves up.

Victory might be out of reach for the midfield, but they could still influence the battle up front. Yuki Tsunoda, currently in 11th place, could still cause chaos — especially if he ends up on an alternative strategy that puts him in traffic at the wrong (or right) time.

 

So, can Max hold them off again?

Let’s not pretend this will be easy for Verstappen. The McLarens are strong, the Ferraris are quietly dangerous, Mercedes look rejuvenated and Verstappen’s own teammate is stuck in the midfield.

But the Dutchman has been here before. When the pressure is on and the setup is a bit unconventional, he tends to deliver. There’s a reason why Stella said, ‘We never rule out Max — because he’s Max Verstappen.’

However, this isn’t Suzuka. It’s a more nuanced battleground, and he’ll need more than just a fast car to emerge victorious.

Will Silverstone throw another meteorological spanner in the works? Will tyre wear unravel Red Bull’s cunning plan? Can McLaren finally break Red Bull’s stranglehold on home soil?

Let us know what you think: will Verstappen weather the British storm, or is someone else poised to steal the thunder? Comment below and join the debate.

 

 

MORE F1 NEWS – Verstappen attacked at Silverstone

The sound and fury of the British Grand Prix weekend – There’s always a little drama at Silverstone, both on and off the tarmac. This year, however, the spotlight wasn’t just on the cars. It was on the crowd, whose vocal cords were seemingly more finely tuned than some of the engines on the grid. Max Verstappen, the four-time world champion and current pantomime villain in certain parts of the UK, once again found himself on the receiving end of a frosty British welcome.

Or rather, a loud, drawn-out boo echoed through the fan zone like a foghorn of discontent as the British F1 fans attacked the Dutchman verbally. Meanwhile, any mention of Lando Norris or Lewis Hamilton was met with rapturous, enthusiastic applause – the kind usually reserved for…READ MORE ON THIS STORY

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With over 30 years of experience in Formula 1 as an insider journalist, I have built trusted connections across the paddock, from race engineers and mechanics to senior team figures. At The Judge 13, I and a handful of trusted colleagues share exclusive Formula 1 news, expert analysis and behind-the-scenes stories you will not find in mainstream motorsport media.

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