Surprise pole but Verstappen in trouble

Verstappen stuns with Suzuka pole with an surprise masterclass in Suzuka – Max Verstappen claimed a remarkable pole position at the Japanese Grand Prix in Suzuka, with a lap that stunned not only his rivals but also his own team. The reigning world champion put his Red Bull on pole ahead of heavily favoured McLaren drivers Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri in what many are calling one of his most impressive qualifying performances to date.

However, in typical Verstappen fashion, the Dutchman wasn’t entirely happy – particularly with the balance of the RB21, which remains a point of contention despite the outstanding result.

It wasn’t the first time Verstappen had pulled a rabbit out of the hat. Fans will remember the thrilling qualifying session in Saudi Arabia during the 2021 title fight, when he put in a breathtaking lap before narrowly hitting the wall on the final corner. That lap, though incomplete, remains iconic. At Suzuka, Verstappen completed the job, staying on track to take pole in a session few expected him to win.

 

Against the odds: Verstappen defies expectations

Helmut Marko, Red Bull’s motorsport advisor, didn’t mince his words when describing the improbability of the result.

“An absolute phenomenon,” Marko told Sky. “When it comes down to it, Max just does it.”

Even he admitted that Red Bull had expected to be half a second behind McLaren, with third row the most realistic target.

Instead, Verstappen threw down the gauntlet at the start of Q3 with a lap that temporarily secured a front row position. But it was his final effort that really shocked the paddock. Norris had just leapfrogged Piastri with a strong lap, but Verstappen responded by improving his own time. He beat both McLarens by just twelve thousandths of a second to take his first pole of the 2025 season.

Verstappen’s reaction was a mixture of joy and disbelief. Asked if it might be one of his best poles ever, he smiled and admitted it was special: “I’ve had really nice poles in other places, but considering how our season started – even this weekend – I would say it was very unexpected. And that’s probably what makes it so special.

 

Dancing on the edge: a lap at the limit

Suzuka is renowned for its high-speed corners and technical demands, and Verstappen pushed the RB20 to the absolute limit.

“Braking, accelerating out of Turn 1 into Turn 2, into Turns 6, 7, 8 and then into Spoon – it was just like ‘I hope I can hold it’. And I did,” he laughed.

When he crossed the line and saw his name at the top of the timing screens, Verstappen allowed himself a moment of celebration. However, he remained cautious, aware that Piastri still had a chance to better his time. Despite two purple sectors from the Australian, the McLaren driver couldn’t dethrone Verstappen and finished third.

His usually reserved radio messages turned into a rare expression of excitement. “What a lap! Yeah, guys,” Verstappen radioed.

His engineer Gianpiero Lambiase was equally impressed, describing the performance as “insane”.

 

The set-up gamble that paid off

So where did this sudden increase in pace come from? According to Marko, Verstappen himself was the key factor, calling it another example of the “Verstappen factor”.

But Red Bull had also made significant set-up changes ahead of qualifying. The team adjusted the car’s springs and wings to add more downforce and make the car more driveable – a risk that ultimately paid off.

Verstappen revealed that the car had been a struggle throughout the weekend, and the team experimented with numerous setup variations.

“We simply tried a lot of different things to get the car better balanced,” he said. “Luckily, that seemed to be enough for first place.”

However, he made it clear that the RB21 is far from a finished product.

“With less fuel over a lap you can mask some things a little bit, but it’s still the case that I’m not going into the lap with full confidence and comfort,” he explained.

“The last time I tried I thought: I’m not even going to try to get comfortable – I’m just going to throw the car in and see what happens”.

 

Verstappen in trouble as balance problems persist despite pole

Despite the euphoria of pole, Verstappen wasn’t about to gloss over Red Bull’s ongoing problems.

“Just because I’m first doesn’t suddenly mean that everything is perfect,” he said. “We still have very clear issues that we need to solve and we’re continuing to work on them.”

Known for its flowing corners and high-speed demands, Suzuka punishes any lack of balance in the car.

“It’s a very difficult track for cars in general – it’s really fast, so any small balance issue can have a much bigger impact at certain points of the lap,” said Verstappen.

He conceded that there may be circuits that suit Red Bull better – or worse – in the future. But for now, the focus remains on understanding the car and improving the overall feel. “It was clear that we’ve tried a lot this weekend to find that driveable balance. And at least that allowed me to push a little harder,” he added.

 

Can Red Bull turn pole position into victory?

The big question now is whether Verstappen can turn this surprise pole position into a race win. McLaren have looked the stronger team for much of the race and race pace has not been Red Bull’s strong suit so far in 2025. Verstappen is well aware of the challenge ahead.

“It’s going to be very difficult, but that’s OK,” he said with a wry smile. “I’ll do my best. So far this season we haven’t really been able to fight them, but we’re not just going to sit here and accept that – we’ll fight tomorrow if we can”.

Starting from pole certainly helps, especially at a track where overtaking isn’t easy. And then there’s the wild card: the weather. Rain is forecast for race day, and that could be Red Bull’s secret weapon. Helmut Marko hinted that wet conditions could tip the balance in Red Bull’s favour.

“If it’s wet, the chances are very good,” he said.

 

A fragile triumph for Verstappen

Max Verstappen’s pole in Japan is a reminder that even amid struggles, a driver of his calibre can redefine expectations. It was a lap forged from instinct, experience and a willingness to take risks despite underlying discomfort with the car. While Red Bull have clear technical hurdles to overcome, particularly in finding a more stable balance, Verstappen’s ability to perform under pressure remains unrivalled.

The race ahead promises to be a nail-biting battle – not just against McLaren, but against the elements and the limitations of his own car. Whether Verstappen can turn pole position into victory remains to be seen. But what is clear is that even in a car he doesn’t fully trust, he can still deliver moments of brilliance that leave the paddock speechless.

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With over 30 years of experience in Formula 1 as an insider journalist, I have built trusted connections across the paddock, from race engineers and mechanics to senior team figures. At The Judge 13, I and a handful of trusted colleagues share exclusive Formula 1 news, expert analysis and behind-the-scenes stories you will not find in mainstream motorsport media.

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