#F1 Victims of Circumstance: Yas Marina 2014 – #AbuDhabiGP

Brought to you by TJ13 Courtroom Reporter & Crime Analyst: Adam Macdonald (@adamac39)

[For those who are new to the page; TJ13 attempts to remove certain aspects of the race to give a fairer reflection of the race result.]

Another race in the desert was a fitting end to the Formula One season after it started at dusk to subsequently finish at night.  The race itself was not of great interest as, essentially, it was over after the first corner.  Hamilton looked in control as he charged away at the front, only being joined there by Rosberg slightly outside the DRS 1 second window.

Given that once more both of Rosberg’s laps were quicker in qualifying than either of Hamilton’s, the myth that Lewis is the one lap king has well and truly been dispelled.  The cracks between Rosberg and Hamilton showed in the press conference on Thursday – the best interview session for some time.  The talking was done on track from Hamilton, but it only serves to show what an exciting prospect we are in for next year.  Nico will return stronger with a slightly closer grid chasing the Mercedes pair, which can only be good thing.

Felipe Massa seems to have found some form to take into the winter, again meaning a closer teammate battle next year at Williams.  The same can be said for Kimi and Vettel together at Ferrari, the Lotus pair, the Force India pair and the two newbies at Toro Rosso.  All in all, 2015 is going to be great…and it’s only 104 days away – not that I’m counting or anything.

Lewis-Hamilton WDC car

So what really happened?

Nico Rosberg: Not a lot that can be said that hasn’t already been covered before.  An ERS failure is nigh on impossible to recover from, so he is promoted to 2nd place.  Better luck next year Nico!

Sergio Perez: The Mexican can count himself extremely lucky that his Mario Kart like shortcut went unnoticed by the stewards.  However, he is not so lucky here and is given a 5 second penalty, which relegates him one place to 9th.

Kevin Magnussen: Were it not for the shunt that the Dane received from Nico Hulkenberg, then his front wing would have proven more useful.  He is promoted to 7th place.

Daniil Kvyat: The young Russian qualified brilliantly in 5th place, especially when the powertrain he had in the Toro Rosso was considered.  This would ultimately have been his downfall in the race, had it not given up on him due to the long straights and lack of power.  This is staggering given this was his seventh of the season which shows just how unreliable these units are.  Kvyat is reinstated 9th, which is  a net 11th place.

Pastor Maldonado: Once more, we saw a Lotus give up before the end of the season as Pastor’s car was turned into the fastest flamethrower in the world.  He is reinstated to a net 15th place.

Adrian Sutil: A whole host of problems meant it was an unhappy final drive for Adrian Sutil in the colours of Sauber. He is moved ahead of his teammate into 17th place.

Kamui Kobayashi: It was a shame that such an entertaining career was most probably seen out with a non-finish in Abu Dhabi.  Although, perhaps it is fitting that the Japanese pilot finished with a retirement given the reputation he had earned over the years.  He is reinstated ahead of his teammate in 19th place.

Sebastian Vettel: While Red Bull dealt the now ex-World Champion a harsh hand by replacing his powertrain for a much older one, this was done outside of the race and therefore is not altered in race finish.

Lewis-Hamilton WDC celebration

The Verdict
This leaves the revised results table looking like this:

Revised Race Position Driver Result comparison Points Points Difference Grid Position
Start RevisedPosition
1 Lewis Hamilton = 50 = 2 1
2 Nico Rosberg +12 36 +36 1 2
3 Felipe Massa -1 30 -6 4 3
4 Valtteri Bottas -1 24 -6 3 4
5 Daniel Ricciardo -1 20 -4 PL 5
6 Jenson Button -1 16 -4 6 6
7 Kevin Magnussen +4 12 +12 9 7
8 Nico Hulkneberg -1 8 -4 12 8
9 Sebastian Vettel -1 4 -4 PL 9
10 Sergio Perez -3 2 -10 11 10
11 Daniil Kvyat RETIRED 0 = 5 11
12 Fernando Alonso -3 0 -4 8 12
13 Kimi Raikkonen -3 0 -2 7 13
14 Jean-Eric Vergne -2 0 = 10 14
15 Pastor Maldonado RETIRED 0 = 15 15
16 Romain Grosjean -3 0 = 18 16
17 Adrian Sutil -1 0 = 13 17
18 Esteban Gutierrez -3 0 = 14 18
19 Kamui Kobayashi RETIRED 0 = 16 19
20 Will Stevens -1 0 = 17 20

Below, the revised World Drivers’ Championship:

Driver Revised WDC WDC Points Difference
Position Points
Lewis Hamilton 1 424 +40
Nico Rosberg 2 387 +70
Daniel Ricciardo 3 230 -8
Valtteri Bottas 4 167 -19
Sebastian Vettel 5 165 -2
Felipe Massa 6 156 +22
Fernando Alonso 7 144 -17
Jenson Button 8 119 -7
Nico Hulkenberg 9 58 -33
Kevin Magnussen 10 51 -4
Kimi Raikkonen 11 50 +11
Sergio Perez 12 39 -20
Jean-Eric Vergne 13 14 -8
Daniil Kvyat 14 11 +5
Romain Grosjean 15 4 -4
Pastor Maldonado 16 2 =
Esteban Gutierrez 17 1 +1
Adrian Sutil 18 1 +1
Jules Bianchi 19 0 -2
Kamui Kobayashi 20 0 =
Max Chilton 21 0 =
Marcus Ericsson 22 0 =
Will Stevens 23 0 =

*Those with 0 points will not be ordered

What they would have said

Double points didn’t matter, Victims of Circumstance says the right man won and the strongest contender on paper won the Championship.  Just imagine the embarrassment if it had been Hamilton with the car failure – a PR disaster of epic proportions for Mercedes.

Kevin Magnussen was largely anonymous for much of the race thanks to his damaged wing.  However, why is it always Magnussen who attracts the trouble?  Also, will this have an effect on his chances of a 2015 drive for McLaren?

Quote of the Day

Alexander Hamilton was one of the founding fathers of the United States of America and founder of the first political party.  He said, “A well-adjusted person is one who makes the same mistake twice without getting nervous.”

A pivotal figure in the United States' formation

A pivotal figure in the United States’ formation

Once again we saw Lewis Hamilton make the same mistakes and not qualify on pole.  A younger Hamilton would have panicked, but the driver we have seen this year is a different man.  Well done Lewis Hamilton, 2014 World Drivers’ Champion!

5 responses to “#F1 Victims of Circumstance: Yas Marina 2014 – #AbuDhabiGP

  1. This is one of the most interesting article series on this blog. It’s interesting and relieving to find out that the top positions in WDC don’t reverse this time even with bad circumstances taken into account.

    • Thank you for your kind words. It’s amazing to see how much Hulkenberg benefits from being consistent as well!

  2. I won’t pretend to have a detailed recall of the whole championship or of this series, but it’s interesting that the overall points for Ricciardo and Vettel are largely unchanged.
    If you asked me for an off-the-cuff opinion about the year, I would have said Dan has been pretty lucky this year and Seb has been rather less fortunate.
    The double points had a big effect here though I think because I would have said Lewis was more of a victim of circumstance throughout the course of the year than Nico, when the final standings show the opposite at +40 and +70. Nico lost 36 points to dodgy ERS in Abu Dhabi though.

  3. “Given that once more both of Rosberg’s laps were quicker in qualifying than either of Hamilton’s, the myth that Lewis is the one lap king has well and truly been dispelled.”

    Not trying to be a buzzkill but looking at some of the problems some amazing drivers have (a la Raikkonen and Vettel), I’d say we should hold off on the definitive answer. Just like we should give Kimi and Seb time to find the sweet spot.

    • Similarly, there was talk of Hamilton setting his car up more for race pace rather than to try and always have the optimum qualifying setup. If you know your car is almost always good for 2nd place even with a less than optimum setup, surely you’d take that slight handicap for qualifying with the knowledge you’d be much stronger in the race? When you consider the amount of race wins Hamilton had, and specifically the poles:wins ratio that Rosberg had, it suggests there might be an element of this at play.

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