#F1 Odds Analysis: #AustrianGP 2014

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In a new feature for 2014, TheJudge13 will look into Formula One odds from bookmakers analysing what the odds would suggest.  We would invite readers to get involved and tell us if you think they are a fair reflection.

Last time out

Monaco was unimaginable with Marussia finally scoring their first points, Montreal was unpredictable as the Silver Arrows finally showed that they were not bullet proof and Spielberg is going to be an unknown.  Having not raced there since 2003 in the V10 era, the teams go there with no recent data – apart from those at Red Bull – so would this give them the advantage this weekend?

The fall out between the Massa/Perez incident rumbles on as the war of words looks far from over.  Who will do their talking on the track this weekend?

Looking ahead

As we reported earlier in the week, it is the rookies who have raced there most recently with Daniil Kvyat and Kevin Magnussen racing there just last year.  The newbies as well as the old guard will know the circuit well which could slightly change the pecking order, but surely Merecedes won’t go 2 race weekends without winning will they?

Battle will resume between the Championship rivals with Hamilton now trailing his teammate by 22 points – or more importantly put – more than 3 race 1-2 finishes behind Rosberg.  It is the man from Stevenage who has it all to do once again!

The circuit Gilles Villenueve played into the hands of the Mercedes powered teams, whereas the Red Bull ring will be a much more even playing field with a mixture of long straights and high speed corners. Medium to high downforce could see Daniel Ricciardo and Sebastian Vettel challenging for a podium position at the home Grand Prix of the team.

Hot to trot

Daniil Kvyat point finish – 2/1 – Following 2 non-finishes he is priced highly to even make a top 10 finish.  The Austrian circuit should play more into the strengths of the Toro Rosso than Canada and will not be as hard to cool the powertrains as Monaco was.

Nico Rosberg fastest qualifier – 7/4 –Nobody can deny Hamilton’s pace, but he has failed to deliver in the past two qualifying sessions (even if in Monaco ‘luck’ intervened on the part of Rosberg).  Should Hamilton not make the most of his tyres in Q3, it will be Rosberg’s to lose.

A punt on a grunt

A look at a more speculative market – A driver others than one of the Mercedes to take the fastest lap – 11/1 or higher – ranging from 11 right up to 2,500 for either Chilton or Bianchi to take it, should the Mercedes pair run into problems again (or collide early on) it will be someone else who takers the accolade.  11/1 for Sebastian Vettel seems a very fair price!

 

Here at TJ13 towers we’re all looking forward to another great weekend of racing.  Be sur to tune in…

 

TJ13 only suggests responsible gambling.  For advice on the subject visit www.gambleaware.co.uk/     From all the team – enjoy the race!

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