#F1 Qualifying Review: Rosberg leads the way as Ricciardo leads Vettel… again!

Brought to you by TheJudge13 contributor Mattpt55

The first stars tremble as if shimmering in green water. Hours must pass before their glimmer hardens into the frozen glitter of diamonds. I shall have a long wait before I witness the soundless frolic of the shooting stars. In the profound darkness of certain nights I have seen the sky streaked with so many trailing sparks that it seemed to me a great gale must be blowing through the outer heavens.
― Antoine de Saint-ExupéryWind, Sand and Stars

 

2014 Bahrain GP Qualifying- Rosberg

In Malaysia it was the rain, in Bahrain it was the wind.  As the sun set and the wind whipped through the circuit threatening to upset the delicate aero of the cars at unpredictable moments, a showdown of Mercedes PU’s was on order as at the close of P3 it was all Mercedes in the top 6. With just a 0.1 of a second between Hamilton and Rosberg, Perez was a startling 0.5 seconds back of Rosberg. Following on was the Williams pair with Bottas appearing to have the upper hand at the moment. Button was a further 0.03 seconds back, well outpacing his team mate. At the circuit with the heaviest fuel demands the might of the Mercedes PU appeared unbeatable and the juicy prospect of a Williams or Force India on the podium looked closer and closer to reality.

Q1

Battle of the Backmarkers

As the lights went green for the first night qualifying in Bahrain, the track looked lonely as no one wanted to be first to break the silence. Finally, Gutierrez in the Sauber ventured out and broke the night’s tranquility hanging over the track. Force India were quick to follow with all the heavy hitters sitting in the garage.  As they sat and waited, Torro Rosso hit the circuit as Gutierriez slid onto the finishing straight to lay down a 1:38.5.  With Vergne heading round, viewers saw a shower of sparks from the underside of the Toro Rosso on his warm up lap.

Meanwhile, with 13:30 minutes left in the session Hulkenberg came through in a 1:36.8 to demonstrate how difficult the situation is for Sauber at the moment, particularly compared to last year. McLaren headed out followed closely by Mercedes, with Hamilton and Rosberg both on the Mediums.

Remaining time was down to 12:44 minutes when Ricciardo started his first flyer, and emerged straight into into traffic and away he went. He managed to gracefully extricate himself without much loss of time. He has looked quickest of the Renault-engined cars all weekend and pulled through to a 1:36.6 to continue this trend.

Grosjean was trying hard and managed a 1:37.4 in his attempt to edge into Q2 as the clock ticked over with 10 minutes to go. Both Mercedes are staggeringly fast on the Mediums; over a second up through Sector 2. And first touch goes to Hamilton as he beats Rosberg to the line by 0.1 seconds with 9 minutes to go.

Just to drive home Mercedes dominance on the Mediums, Vettel came through Sector 2 over 1.3 seconds off on the Mediums, which wound up being good for a momentary P7.

As the time ticked away, Kobayashi sat in 10th ahead of the Ferrari of Raikkonen and with 7:30m to go Sutil managed a P5. Vergne, Chilton, Maldonado, Ericsson all sat in the drop zone with the Williams having not set a time.

With 6 minutes to go, all the midfield and backmarkers strapped on the softs and they were off. Mercedes decided to park their cars and to give themselves a tire advantage for Q2, though it looked unnecessary given their pace.

4 minutes to go and Perez and Bianchi were both in trouble if the Williams pair set a good time. And so it was that Bottas came through Sector 1, 0.1 up and looking very good to advance.

Gutierrez snuck into 3rd with Ricciardo in 4th and Alonso in 5th. Bottas completed his Sector 2, 0.46 up as finally Williams started to give a glimpse of their pace after the overheating they experienced last week.  Bottas crossed the line in P1 but not for long as Hulkenberg took it away with 2 minutes to go.

Vettel has emerged on softs with Ricciardo having stayed on the Mediums. Raikkonen had fallen to 17th with Kobayashi on the bubble in 16th.

With 60 seconds remaining the action hit its peak with Vergne on a hot lap looking to escape the bottom of the grid and having massive traffic to avoid. Raikkonen made it out with a decent effort to P5. Kvyat started his flyer hovering near the cut off, Vergne made it up and out with his try. Magnussen had been loitering near the bottom, but got it together for a reasonable lap to place himself out of danger. Kvyat had made it through into P7 for the moment and in the blink of an eye the checkers fall and Bianchi, Kobayashi  Sutil then Maldonado watch themselves rotate through P17 and out of Q2, with Grosjean being the last man through and displacing Maldonado by 0.009.

The real drama occurred between Sutil and Grosjean as Sutil swerved across the track and took Grosjean completely off track.  No explanation for the Sauber’s behavior was forthcoming.

On the outside looking in were Maldonado, Sutil, Kobayashi, Bianchi, Ericsson , and Chilton in p17-22.

Q2

Melee in the Midfield

Q2 started off with a lack of action on track, but with plenty in the stewards room as it was officially announced that the incident between Sutil and Grosjean was being investigated. Rosberg had already received a reprimand for a similar maneuver earlier that was much less egregious so it is likely that Sutil might collect some points on his pristine super license.

Back on track with 13 minutes to go, Bottas led the way followed by the Force India. Trying to kill time with statistics the Sky team announced that Lewis’ time on the Mediums in Q1 was fractionally faster than the time he set on softs in P3.

12 minutes to go and everyone had now followed suit. Hamilton received a radio message during his warm up lap that he was potentially on his starting race tires.

Hulkenberg threw down a 1:35.6 with 10 minutes to go , besting the disappointing 1:36.07 previously left by Bottas.  No sooner did that time get posted than it is obliterated by Kimi Raikkonen into the 1:34’s. No sooner posted than wiped out as Hamilton was into the 1:33’s and catching up to K-Mag across the line at an alarming rate. Second touch went to Rosberg though, as crossing the line he went 0.1 seconds up on Hamilton setting up a very nice duel for Q3.

With 7:30 to go Mercedes were more than a second up on everyone and had likely parked it for the rest of the session. That put them 2 sets of tyres to the good going into Q3, an advantage they clearly have no need of.

Vettel finally emerged with 5 minutes to go, Kvyat sat in 9th with Grosjean still in the garage. Bottas languished in 12th and Massa in 10th as everyone save Mercedes prepared for their next run.

Williams emerged from the garage with 3:30 minutes to go on fresh softs, as Vettel broke the line for his first timed run with 3 minutes to spare. Sector 1 saw him 0.5 down and Sector 2 saw him 0.9 seconds down as his team mate Ricciardo sparkled in P3. The finish line saw Vettel an anemic 1.2 seconds off, P8 and looking very likely not to advance.

Confirming that observation was Bottas who came through in a strong P6, followed by Massa in P7, the combination shoving Vettel down to P10.  With Force India, McLaren and Ferrari still circulating the reigning World Champ was done with 21 seconds left. Hulkenberg was the last one out, but failed to improve on his P12 so it was Vettel, Hulkenberg, Kvyat, Vergne, Gutierrez and Grosjean failing to advance in P11-16. Though Ricciardo’s 10 spot penalty will move Vettel up, it will be cold comfort indeed.

On his in lap, Vettel complained of downshift issues, similar to complaints already heard by Toro Rosso. Both teams opened their gearboxes before P1 in accordance with the new regulations, maybe now they’re wishing they hadn’t.

Q3

War of the Winners

As the lights went green for Q3 the only certainty that hung over the deserted track was that P1 was already down to Hamilton v Rosberg, the only question being who would get closest to the perfect lap. The best of the rest was also an open question as with Vettel out, Perez and both Williams were still in as well.

Finally after 2 excruciating minutes Bottas lead the way, followed by Massa, Perez and most of the rest, including both Mercedes and Ricciardo.

Bottas was first through to set a hot lap and crossed the Start Line with just 8:45 minutes to go. He turned a very clean lap and posted a 1:34.2, 0.6 seconds up on his previous best. The Mercedes were making that look like child’s play as Rosberg came through almost a second faster, trailed by Hamilton who could only manage a time .28 down.  Having sucked up all the oxygen in the broadcast world with their titanic struggle,  Bottas, Perez, Massa, Ricciardo, Magnussen and Alonso rounded out the top 10. Button and Raikkonen showed no time on the board, having chosen to wait.

With 5 minutes left as all the teams regrouped, Rosberg’s current time was within a second of last year’s pole, a remarkable achievement for Mercedes who show no signs of slowing their development.

Down to 3 minutes, and Ferrari decided it was go time for Kimi. He flashed out of the garage for his only shot at setting a time. At 2 minutes to go, Bottas joined him, with all the others throwing down and heading out as the wind ripped through the track.

Raikkonen started his run by losing 0.3 in the first sector, locking up into turn 10 but still bringing it home in P6; better than Alonso.  Rosberg failed to improve on his sector one, but Hamilton went deep into Turn 1 and locked up, an uncharacteristic mistake that no doubt brought epic relief to Rosberg as he received the message in Sector 2 that he was P1 for Sunday. Lewis had bailed on the lap as he had lost too much time. Ricciardo recorded a stellar P3, seriously out-qualifying his teammate and the best Alonso could manage in the end was P9. Bottas and Perez continued the fun – qualifying P4 and P5 with Raikkonen hanging onto P6. Button showed some renewed form by vaulting up into P7, just edging Massa in P8. And last, Magnussen pipped Alonso for P9, starting the entertainment for Ferrari as Luca di Montezemolo is in attendance this week at the GP and will no doubt be less than pleased with the showing of Alonso.

The story of the winner will be race pace for the Mercedes, with lap times being very close between the two cars during P2. Lewis looked faster later in the long runs and Rosberg looked faster earlier. Eclipsing that, however, the real story will be the battle between Force India, McLaren, Ferrari and Williams. With Bottas in P3 after Ricciardo’s penalty and Perez in P4, not to mention both Vettel and Riccciardo far back in the field, tomorrow could well deliver the kind of excitement that the new regulations promised.

 

2014 Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying

 

Final results

# Driver Team
1 Nico Rosberg Mercedes
2 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
3 Valtteri Bottas Williams
4 Sergio Perez Force India
5 Kimi Raikkonen Ferrari
6 Jenson Button McLaren
7 Felipe Massa Williams
8 Kevin Magnussen McLaren
9 Fernando Alonso Ferrari
10 Sebastian Vettel Red Bull
11 Nico Hulkenberg Force India
12 Daniil Kvyat Toro Rosso
13 Daniel Ricciardo Red Bull
14 Jean-Eric Vergne Toro Rosso
15 Esteban Gutierrez Sauber
16 Romain Grosjean Lotus
17 Pastor Maldonado Lotus
18 Adrian Sutil Sauber
19 Kamui Kobayashi Caterham
20 Jules Bianchi Marussia
21 Marcus Ericsson Caterham
22 Max Chilton Marussia
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25 responses to “#F1 Qualifying Review: Rosberg leads the way as Ricciardo leads Vettel… again!

  1. Great write-up thanks Matt and just loved the quote – I wonder if the book shops will wonder why suddenly everyone wants to buy the book…I know I do:) Formula One and literature – what more could I want!

    • Thx Jenny, it’s a fantastic book. When I thought of the race being in a desert it was the first one I went looking in.

  2. Funny how last year when Red Bull were winning everything it was bad for F1, yet this year when Mercedes are running away with it , and they will run away with it, it’s good.

    • Don’t be too hasty, I’m already starting to see some people complaining about Merc’s dominance.

      I think a lot of people are still just happy that someone other than Red Bull is winning, but it will wear thin at some point.

      • More importantly #Bo77as!! LOL! It’s going to be interesting to see ROS v. HAM as they were on very similar race pace a la Dr. Beck’s FP2 model. But the real excitement it going to be PER and BOT in P3 and P4. By far the most interesting Quali as the usual heavy hitters excepting Merc are really out of place.

    • Just like it was great when Ferrari broke Williams stranglehold then we all got sick of it, it was refreshing when Red Bull first won. We are only 3 races in, come back an see us half way through next year if its still the same. You seem to reckon you’ve been around a while, you must know how this works by now.

        • Guess I should have been more carefull with my language considering who I was talking to. My point was that I when Ferrari (I used them as they go on to have a dominant streak) Fought Williams and then McLaren for the titles (and though they didn’t win them, they became competative enough to challenge and break the trend) yet when they started dominating in the early 2000’s it got dull. If McLaren had carried on winning in the fashion they were, that would have been too. Periods of dominance can be annoying, when there is a new winner its initiallly refreshing, yet when they keep dominating it can get dull. The one respite from this, is if there is a good inter team battle from the dominators, as with Senna and Prost, or even Hill and Villeneuve, and thus far it looks as if Rosberg and Hamilton might prove too. If that proves a good fight all year it might be enough, but I’m not sure it will, or indeed that we could weather more than a season of it.

          • In case you missed it, Ferraris and Red Bull did not have a good inter team rivalry… 2010 was about as good as it got.

          • You’re point about inter-team rivalry is crucial. In any period of domination, you ideally want team-mates to practically hate each other, it keeps the result unexpected.
            That’s why Senna v Prost was brilliant. It also explains why Piquet v Mansell in 1986 and 1987 was so compelling.

  3. Curious reversals of fortune at this track – Rosberg/Hamilton; Perez/Hulkenberg; Raikkonen/Alonso – all finished out of the order current form would suggest.

    Something about the track (it’s certainly one of Rosberg’s favourites), or merely co-incidence ?

    • Errr…. Roberg 43 points vs. Hamilton 25; victories 1-1; poles, Nico 1 vs Lewis 2, current form suggest me Nico is winning.

      • Or do you mean only qualifying positions? Even there, they have been 1-2 in the previous two races, no big differences.

        • Mmmmh… actually they were 1-3, weren’t they? You have a point if you refer only to qualifying. Also Hamilton made a mistake in his fast lap today.

  4. There has been a fairly easy acceptance of RB’s punishment for the loose wheel but very little sympathy for DR’s predicament. He lost ages in the pits afterwards, had to additionally suffer a drive-through, and now loses 10 spots on the grid… and yet HE did nothing wrong.
    I know all about, “we win as a team; lose as a team” (and other similar bullshit, like: “For sure”, and “We hope for a podium”, and, my favourite, “For sure, we hope to be on the podium”) but this seems to me to be an attack on the driver which is quite unfair, and wrong.
    There have been times in the past when a team has messed up, and have lost championship points, without the driver losing his as well.
    There is something illogical here, and thus wrong.
    A fine to the team doesn’t work because many teams pay out more than the fines in hospitality at one race.
    How about docking constructors’ points from the race where the error was made AND at the following race, while allowing the driver (if not at fault) to keep his.
    TEN spots on the grid for the driver, for doing nothing, is unbelievable…!
    I wonder where else in the Judge’s experience any court would get away with this…
    ****hipporant over****

    • Agree. DR has been the only bright spot in a team where there isn’t much to like. Great drives so far and no crying.

    • Well… “we win as a team; lose as a team” can be perfectly appropriate and logical here. It’s just as what happens when a competitor’s engine turns from V6 to V5 and the driver retires: through no fault of their own, their race is over. And they have only their team to blame for a ruined race.

      But if the rules’ intention here is to punish the team, then either (as was already suggested here on TJ13) slap both team’s drivers with the 10 grid penalty for next race; or, as you suggest, penalize the team with 50% of all the constructor’s points earned during that race, per incident. Thus should the team have two incidents in a race, then it’s as if the team got disqualified. If the team got no points, then impose a some minimum penalty. If the team is a no-scorer, slap both drivers with 10 grid penalties for next race. Harsh, but effective incentives for the _team_.

  5. On a happier note… try this for a forecast…
    – – –
    1. Kvyat is the new Vettel.
    2. Put him in a top team next year and he could be Champion by 2015-16
    3. Those other ‘youngsters’, who are now no longer so young (eg Alonso, Kimi and Hamilton), who are desperate for another championship, only have this year, and perhaps next, to achieve it. Even Vettel might now be in for an Alonzo-esque doldrums…
    4. With Bottas and Magnussen as well (and Vandoorne??) the next couple of years might see more tables turned than in the Hippo’s wind-tunnel…
    5. There are more changes due soon in F1 than just ‘spec’ cars.
    6. By 2020 all of us could be looking back on today as: ‘The Good Old Days’ – not just us old-timers… 😉
    <<>>
    [PS: Remember, you saw it on ‘TJ13’ first. 🙂 ]

    • That <> was written as <<>>
      I don’t know what evil gremlin changed it – certainly wasn’t any kind of phone… 😉

  6. The bit about Monty and Alonso might have been a bit too harsh. Alonso complained that his car had a loss of power during Q3, which must have affected his result. I read about this in Autosport (I think) but it looks like most people haven’t read it or they just chose to ignore it.

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